Tuesday, October 9, 2018

NOAA / NWS National Hurricane Center - Advisory #11

Subject: NOAA Hurricane Advisory

NOAA / NWS National Hurricane Center - Advisory #11

The National Hurricane Center has issued the following Advisory to include the Mid-Atlantic region.  At 5:00 a.m. today, Oct 9th, Hurricane Michael was a Cat  2 hurricane (winds of 96 – 110 mph) and was moving NNW toward the panhandle of Florida.  It is expected to be a  Cat 3 hurricane with sustained winds of at least 111 mph with gusts to 120 mph at time of landfall.  Michael is an extremely dangerous cyclonic system and will bring both heavy rainfall and winds in the affected areas.   

The cone of probability places the hurricane moving rapidly NNE toward the outer banks of North Carolina, late Wednesday, Oct 10th.  The cones center forecast places it over the Delmarva peninsula  Thursday morning, Oct 11th.   The U.S. and European models appear to be in agreement with its expected path.  Winds and life-threatening storm surge may affect portions of the South Carolina coastline with tropical force winds between 65 – 73 mph.  The North Carolina and Virginia coastlines can also expect strong tropical force winds and heavy rainfall.  A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Advisory may be issued for the coastal sections of SC and NC .  The Mid-Atlantic region of VA and the Delmarva and estuaries may be affected by heavy rainfall and tropical force winds. The affected areas should begin to prepare for this event.  All boating interests should stay tuned to their local TV stations and NOAA Weather Radio for further updates.  Delmarva local interests should take necessary precautions to secure boats and remove any unsecured objects from becoming airborne.

SUMMARY:

Tropical force winds range between 39 - 73 mph and may include all coastal beach locations of  VA and MD.  Storm surge may affect coastal sections of SC / NC.    Flooding in these regions could take place.  These conditions will be accompanied by very heavy rainfall throughout the affected region of the warned areas.  


SOURCE:

NOAA - NWS, National Hurricane Center
Miami, Florida


(special notations have been added)

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