As of 8:00a.m. Sept 2nd Hurricane Hermine has now been downgraded to a tropical storm. It has sustained winds of nearly 70 mph and is moving north northeast at 15 mph, centered just east of Charleston, SC. The present storm track will place it at or near the Outer Banks, NC by Friday evening with winds 60 + mph in stronger gusts. It will then move north just off the Delmarva peninsula by mid-day Saturday, Sept. 3rd. NOAA models and the European model are still not in agreement as to what happens next. It does appear that the storm will stall at this point and then may move west toward the coastline between Maryland and New Jersey. Additionally, it may become extra – tropical as a strong Nor’easter and remain in the same location until the middle of next week. This could cause extensive beach erosion along with very heavy rain that could include the Baltimore – Washington area. Rainfall amounts with this scenario would be between 5” – 8” in squalls on the Delmarva and 3” – 5” over the Mid-Atlantic region, along with winds 30 – 40 mph or higher. The elements that are affecting this is one, a strong high pressure over New England with its clockwise circulation and two, the counterclockwise circulation of the storm with their two wind fields both moving toward the coastline. All interests in the Mid-Atlantic region should stay tuned to your local TV station and NOAA Weather Radio for updates as this event unfolds.
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| The tidal levels displayed do not include the effects of the impeding storm. 2.0 feet is the MHHW (Mean High-High Water) |
Source: NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida
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